山东冬季近41年气温异常及其海气背景场特征   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

杨成芳  孙即霖  薛德强 《中国海洋大学学报(自然科学版)》2004,34(2):165-172

采用山东省 2 6个站点 1 96 1～ 2 0 0 1年的月平均气温资料 ,利用 Mann- Kendall突变检验法、线性倾向估计等方法分析了山东省冬季 (1 2月～次年 1月 )平均气温的变化特征 ,并从北半球5 0 0 h Pa位势高度距平场、冷空气活动路径及太平洋海温距平场等方面分析了冬季气温异常的原因。分析发现山东省冬季气温变化具有明显的阶段性 ,突变发生在 1 986年。存在冷冬年欧亚盛行经向环流 ,暖冬年盛行纬向环流的差异。这可能与冷空气路径不同有直接原因。  相似文献   

渤海冬季海冰气候变异的成因分析   总被引：10，自引：5，他引：10  

刘钦政  黄嘉佑  白珊  吴辉碇 《海洋学报》2004,26(2):11-19

选取渤海冰情等级资料和大气环流74个指数逐月资料,分别建立不同尺度(年、半年、季和月)的累积值变量作为因子,研究该地区冰情年代际变化及冰情的气候成因,结果发现以1972年为分界把1932～2000年时期冰情的变化分为两个时段,前一时段为重冰情多发阶段,1972年以后转为轻冰情时段.影响渤海海冰冰情变化主要因子是太平洋副高.  相似文献   

连云港海域海水温度近40年来的变化及突变分析     

孙克渠  胡志晖  茆海云  张瑞光 《海洋预报》2007,24(3):108-111

利用2种突变检测方法对连云港海域近40a海水温度的变化特征及突变特征进行了综合分析。结果表明:连云港海域近40a海水温度变化的阶段性特征明显,海水温度的冷暖交替具有突变特征,突变点为1994年。  相似文献   

私募股权投资的估值问题研究进展     

朱其明  费为银  费晨 《南京气象学院学报》2017,9(3):332-340

阐述了私募股权投资的估值问题.首先简要介绍了投资组合问题的发展历史与研究成果.接着较为详细地论述了私募股权投资的估值问题的研究现状,包括有限合伙人的投资组合选择,以及对投资企业的价值评估体系和评估方法的研究,并给出了所要研究的模型,即含有未支撑风险的私募股权投资模型.最后给出所要研究模型在通胀环境、Knight不确定环境下以及跳扩散环境下的拓展框架.  相似文献   

基于积分不等式的时滞Markovian跳变系统的稳定性分析和镇定     

夏卫锋  徐胜元 《南京气象学院学报》2017,9(4):417-422

文章研究了时滞 Markovian 跳变系统的稳定性和镇定问题.首先,运用一个新的积分不等式,得到了保守性更小的稳定性判据;其次,基于此判据,获得了一个状态反馈控制器存在的充分条件,使得闭环系统具有随机稳定性并满足扩展耗散性;最后,两个实际例子说明了设计方法的可行性和有效性.  相似文献   

DRY/WET CLIMATE CHANGE SINCE 960 A.D.IN TAIHU DRAINAGE BASIN OF CHINA   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

WANG Zhang-hua  CHEN Zhong-yuan  KOU Ying  CHEN Yu 《中国地理科学(英文版)》2001,11(4):343-349

IINTRODUCTION climate chang巳 divided d叮／wet penodS and discussed itsrelationships with cold／warm vanatlon and solar activityRecords ofellmate dlsasterhave been abundantly（CHEN198飞 1989）．IOund In Chinese historical literature．Previous works The present study tends to establish the dry／wethave collected such records to study the historical elf－series since 960 A．D．ofTal…  相似文献   

Recognition of cyclic steps in sandy and gravelly turbidite sequences,and consequences for the Bouma facies model   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

George Postma  Kick Kleverlaan  Matthieu J. B. Cartigny 《Sedimentology》2014,61(7):2268-2290

Preservation of cyclic steps contrasts markedly with that of subcritical‐flow bedforms, because cyclic steps migrate upslope eroding their lee face and preserving their stoss side. Such bedforms have not been described from turbidite outcrops and cores as yet. A conceptual block diagram for recognition of cyclic steps in outcrop has been constructed and is tested by outcrop studies of deep water submarine fan deposits of the Tabernas Basin in south‐eastern Spain. Experimental data indicate that depositional processes on the stoss side of a cyclic step are controlled by a hydraulic jump, which decelerates the flow and by subsequent waxing of the flow up to supercritical conditions once more. The hydraulic jump produces a large scour with soft‐sediment deformation (flames) preserved in coarse‐tail normal‐graded structureless deposits (Bouma Ta), while near‐horizontal, massive to stratified top‐cut‐out turbidite beds are found further down the stoss side of the bedform. The architecture of cyclic steps can best be described as large, up to hundreds of metres, lens‐shaped bodies that are truncated by erosive surfaces representing the set boundaries and that consist of nearly horizontal lying stacks of top‐cut‐out turbidite beds. The facies that characterize these bedforms have traditionally been described as turbidite units in idealized vertical sequences of high‐density turbidity currents, but have not yet been interpreted to represent bedforms produced by supercritical flow. Their large size, which is in the order of 20 m for gravelly and up to hundreds of metres for sandy steps, is likely to have hindered their recognition in outcrop so far.  相似文献   

Widespread overspill from a saline density‐current channel and its interaction with topography on the south‐west Black Sea shelf     

Richard N. Hiscott  Ali E. Aksu  Roger D. Flood  Vladimir Kostylev  Doğan Yaşar 《Sedimentology》2013,60(7):1639-1667

Seaward of the Bosphorus Strait, the south‐west Black Sea shelf is dominated by the world's largest channel network maintained by a quasi‐continuous saline (ca 35 → 31 psu) underflow. Calculations indicate that >85% of the initial discharge of ca 10⁴ m³s^?1 spills overbank before the shelf edge. This paper documents interaction of the overspill with sea bed topography using multibeam bathymetry, echo‐sounder images of the water column, conductivity–temperature–depth profiles and sediment cores. Overbank spill is widespread, particularly through crevasse channels and on the middle shelf where confinement by channel banks is negligible. Towards the outer shelf, the wind‐driven Rim Current advects mud along the shelf, contributing to levée successions and deposition on stoss sides of elongate transverse ridges. Echo‐sounder profiles reveal metre‐scale eddies over megaflutes, and breaking lee waves and internal hydraulic jumps over ridges. Megaflutes reach 600 m long and 7 m deep, yet form where the underflow, outside the flute, is no thicker than ca 2 to 5 m. Two types of elongate seaward‐facing ridges are recognized. Type 1 ridges, 2 to 5 m high, consist of bivalve‐rich muddy sand in low‐angle (3·5° to 6°) cross‐sets created by the underflow. Type 2 ridges, ca 5 m high, have crests up to 2 km long and a buried wedge‐shaped foundation (the ‘ridge‐core’) comprised of facies similar to Type 1 ridges. These ridge‐cores are blanketed on the landward side by stratified muds, and are capped by obliquely oriented ribs supporting a diverse benthic community. This facies distribution is interpreted to result from stoss‐side and lee‐side velocity and turbulence fluctuations induced by internal hydraulic jumps and breaking lee waves in overspilling portions of the underflow. Experimental results published by W.H. Snyder and co‐workers effectively explain ridge evolution and flow across the ridges, and therefore can be applied with confidence to less easily studied deep‐marine settings swept by turbidity currents.  相似文献   

基坑降水中的渗出面     

赵晓峰 《岩土工程技术》2012,26(3):137-140

对基坑降水中渗出面产生的机理、影响渗出面高度的因素、渗出面高度的计算、渗出面对基坑工程的危害及采取的措施等进行了详细的论述。工程实践证明,基坑降水工程中渗出面的研究对解决基坑降水中遇到的相关工程问题提供了理论依据。  相似文献   

全球、中国及云南近百年气温变化的层次结构和突变特征   总被引：25，自引：0，他引：25  

尤卫红  段旭  邓自旺  伍从斌 《热带气象学报》1998,14(2):173-180

用文献［１］建立的自适应多分辨数据波滤器进行了全球、中国及云南近百年气温变化的层次结构和突变特征分析。结果表明：（１）全球近百年来的气温变化对于较大时间尺度的演化来说主要特征是变暖,并为３个层次：即１９１９年以前的偏冷期;１９２０－１９７８年偏暖期和１９７９年以后的更暖期。对应于这种较大时间尺度的层次演变,全球的气温变化表现出十分明显的突变特征,两上最明显增暖的突变点分别发生在１９２０年和１９７９  相似文献